There are now some videos available from the Beyond Part III / Young Researchers in Mathematics conference I attended earlier this year. Of particular note is David Spiegelhalter’s plenary lecture on probability and uncertainty. I summarised one of the ideas from that talk – the micromort – on Everything2, mentioning a comparison between the risks [...]
Archive of posts filed under the Probability category.
Rule of Succession
Estimating the probability of an event based on its previous success rate.
Greedy Pig
A simple maths game about probability.
St. Petersburg Paradox
E2 writeup on the St. Petersburg paradox (as html/pdf)
